Thank you
Thank you very much for the updates . The model estimates for the monthly sea surface temperatures show that at least 40% of the models signal to stronger La-nina than a moderate one , at least three of the models appear to be outliers with extreme negative sea surface temperature estimates for the months November-January, should this signal a strong lanina rather a moderate one , especially the polar vortex this year had shown early winter behaviors in November particularly in lower latitudes . I would weigh the three extreme model estimates to have a significant negative effect on the deflection of sea-surface temperatures next month particularly most of the models show below -1 deflections ? This is an intuitive guess however that may have explanation. I had hoped the comment would allow figure attachment to make better illustration .
Above all, thank you again & wishing you and everyone else a happy and safe winter .
BR
Mohamed Alkhateeb
The Hashemite Kingdom of Jordan.